How to pick a winning horse

By:
Sam Hayes
06/12/2023
Blog
How to pick a winning horse

When it comes to drama, few sports can compete with horse racing, with the sheer thrill of a race having had sports fans infatuated for centuries. Over the years, horse racing has evolved into a high-stakes industry that draws millions of fans and followers worldwide, with horse racing betting an integral part of the global gambling industry.

The notion of ‘picking a winning horse’ in any context is not simple and it can be challenging, even for the most experienced gamblers, with no magic formula available and the unpredictability of the sport often perplexing punters.

As with any bet or betting strategy, there are many factors that come into play when choosing a horse in a race, all of which need to be considered and weighed up before a bet is placed, particularly if the punter has aspirations of seeing a return on that bet.

Here are some of the key things to be aware of for when looking to increase your chances of picking a winning horse:

Study the form

Few things are as important in the world of horse racing as the form. The form is a record of a horse's recent races, including its finishing positions, its course completion times, and the conditions of the tracks when the horse previously raced.

This form can provide valuable information about a horse's fitness, consistency, and suitability for the next race. It can also reveal patterns in a horse's performance, such as its ability to perform well on certain types of tracks or distances and it can also help punters compare and contrast each horse’s form against each other.

In terms of things to identify when studying the form, each punter may have their own tactic. Horses that have a consistent record of finishing in the top three or four places are often shrewd to back, whilst horses that have won over a certain course and/or distance, maybe well suited to the conditions once more.

Once more, there is no exact formula when it comes to horse racing form but being aware of it and integrating it into selected bets can help people make a winning selection when horse racing betting.

Check the track conditions

Another key factor to look out for when seeking out a winning horse is the condition of the course. Weather and the different types of surface used will have a direct impact on how each horse performs and gaining a better understanding of each horse’s preference can generate a clearer picture of how they may go in any given race.

In addition, if a horse and jockey are familiar with a certain racecourse or have performed successfully over the same distance as their next race, then they may be more susceptible to have a good run in their next outing.

Assess the jockey's skills

Whilst it seems relatively obvious, any horse is only as good as the jockey holding the reins and the jockey on board is often overlooked by rookie punters. A skilled jockey can coax the best out of a horse and help it navigate the course to victory and by the same token, an inexperienced or poorly skilled jockey can harm a horse's chances of winning.

When assessing a jockey's skills, look at their recent performances and their record in similar races. Also, consider their experience in certain race grades and formulate an informed opinion on each jockey and how they tend to perform.

Odds analysis

The odds served up by every sportsbook in the UK and Ireland are a reflection of a horse's chances of winning the race. Whilst these odds generally land in a ballpark, each bookmaker has the autonomy to dictate their odds and doing some basic research within the marketplace always helps punters.

Consider the trainer's record

In a similar vein to the role of a jockey, any trainer plays a crucial role in a horse's performance. A good trainer can develop a horse's potential, keep it in top condition, and prepare it for specific races. On the other hand, a poor trainer can harm a horse's chances of winning by overworking it, undertraining it, or making poor decisions.

When considering a horse, look at its trainer's record in similar races, festivals or meets and seek out trends within their training history that can help make informed decisions when seeking out a winning horse bet.

Seek out expert tips and predictions

Many experts in the industry provide tips and predictions for upcoming races and following these tips can provide valuable insights into which horses are likely to perform well and which ones may struggle.

When following expert tips, consider the source and their track record of accuracy. Some experts may have a better track record than others, so it's important to do the research and find reliable sources when looking for winning horse racing bets.

Bet responsibly

While horse racing can be a thrilling and lucrative pastime, it's important to bet responsibly. Set a budget and stick to it, and never bet outside of any means. Being aware of budget and limitations adds more kudos to any horse racing bet wins and it can give an extra sense of gravitas to punters when they land a bet.

Ultimately, picking a winning horse requires careful research, analysis, and observation and whilst there is no simple way of landing a horse racing bet, being considerate and seeking out patterns and trends can be pivotal when seeking out how to pick a winning horse.